Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 2.521987 2.686037 2.860270 3.059944 3.283510 3.527365 3.815189
2026-02-08 2.212901 2.429793 2.672303 2.966442 3.317596 3.728765 4.254994
2026-02-15 2.058919 2.304630 2.588581 2.946233 3.392601 3.942793 4.691855
2026-02-22 1.931825 2.193828 2.504297 2.907023 3.427873 4.097812 5.060050
2026-03-01 1.807222 2.074114 2.396286 2.823542 3.391469 4.146984 5.280765
2026-03-08 1.695698 1.962196 2.288597 2.729151 3.327903 4.146954 5.422899
2026-03-15 1.635045 1.909203 2.250425 2.720177 3.374991 4.300337 5.808045
2026-03-22 1.580283 1.860013 2.213164 2.708048 3.414055 4.442524 6.192364
2026-03-29 1.533742 1.818552 2.182903 2.702077 3.459303 4.595570 6.614850
2026-04-05 1.518391 1.816343 2.203657 2.766974 3.611595 4.927959 7.406207
2026-04-12 1.480587 1.782412 2.179328 2.765338 3.662245 5.101068 7.936231
2026-04-19 1.493658 1.816527 2.249108 2.903626 3.940302 5.687619 9.423261
2026-04-26 1.422130 1.736185 2.159943 2.807176 3.846121 5.632221 9.582687
2026-05-03 1.356874 1.662620 2.077983 2.718202 3.759405 5.584768 9.763532
2026-05-10 1.319186 1.625283 2.045354 2.701752 3.790662 5.758267 10.516744
2026-05-17 1.279019 1.582817 2.003205 2.667561 3.788114 5.865765 11.140003
2026-05-24 1.230383 1.526767 1.938981 2.594973 3.712894 5.819650 11.338663
2026-05-31 1.181813 1.469348 1.870713 2.512649 3.614831 5.716790 11.353917
2026-06-07 1.157056 1.444815 1.849775 2.504810 3.648730 5.890802 12.246392
2026-06-14 1.133019 1.420455 1.828013 2.494212 3.676364 6.054976 13.180507
2026-06-21 1.111783 1.399381 1.810246 2.488993 3.713169 6.244293 14.292415
2026-06-28 1.107670 1.402772 1.829296 2.545665 3.871477 6.736740 16.830450
2026-07-05 1.089173 1.384550 1.814550 2.544237 3.916914 6.969722 18.509840